Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Frank Snepp's avatar

The most important event of April 8 was not the bombing of the Palace but the arrival of the latest dispatch from the most important spy of the war, a double agent operating for the CIA and the National Police inside COSVN, the top Communist command for the Saigon area and the delta Having stolen every key COSVN secret since 1965, Vo Van Ba outdid himself this time, giving us the outline of Hanoi's plan for winning the war. He told us that the Communists intended to launch immediate attacks in and around Saigon, with a view to seizing it at the first available opportunity, and, most importantly that all rumors of negotiatiated settlement being spread by the communists and their diplomatic dupes were part of a ruse to keep us all off balance. Within hours CIA director Colby briefed Ford and Kissinger on the report. On its face it dispelled all doubt that the communists might wait until after the of start the rainy season to move against the capital and that they might forego such a push altogether in favor of a political bargain. That meant im turn that Ambassador Martin should stop dragging his feet and begin accelerating the drawdown of surplus embassy personnel and preparing earnestly for an emergency evacuation. But Martin and my own boss CIA Station chief Tom Polgar remained mesmerized by their own wishful thinking and false signals from the French embassy and the Hungarian ICCS delegation in Saigon that negotiations were possible. And Kissinger became increasingly infatuated with the idea that the Soviets could be induced by their own interests to intervene against Hanoi. So the air went out of the evacuation balloon, and related planning contiued to languish. A week later the French convinced Polgar that Theiu's removal would jump start negotiations. Martin reluctantly bought into this and Kissinger kept all of us in supension as he waited for the Soviets to reply to an appeal for help that he had filed through Ambassador Dobrynin in Washington. Terrified that evacuation planning would remain in second gear I met directly with Vo Van Ba on April 17 and received the latest on Hanoi's game plan. He discounted the importance of Thieu's proposed departure and the chances it might kickstart negotiations, pinpointed the kickoff date for Hanoi's attack on Saigon and predicted NVA airstrikes on Tan Son Nhut airbase. Did this finally change anybody's mind? Stay tuned.

Expand full comment

No posts